Future Babble

In 2008, some experts said the price of oil would soon hit $200 a barrel; others said it would fall to $30 a barrel. In 1967, some experts said that the USSR would have one of the fastest-growing economies in 2000; others predicted a decline. In 1911, some experts said there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. And yet we keep asking experts to predict the future — everything from weather patterns to terrorist attacks. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon and why it's so easy for us to ignore wrong predictions.