Antonio García Martínez is an American New York Times Best Selling author and tech entrepreneur. He is a former product manager for Facebook, the CEO-founder of AdGrok and a former quantitative analyst for Goldman Sachs.

Antonio García Martínez

Nir Eyal is an Israeli-born American author, lecturer and investor known for his bestselling book, Hooked: How to Build Habit-Forming Products.

Reid Garrett Hoffman CBE is an American internet entrepreneur, venture capitalist and author. Hoffman was the co-founder and executive chairman of LinkedIn, a business-oriented social network used primarily for professional networking. He is currently a partner at the venture capital firm Greylock Partners.

Reid

Paul Ormerod was the head of the Economic Assessment Unit at The Economist and the director of economics at the Henley Centre for Forecasting in England. He has taught economics at the universities of London and Manchester, and was a founder of the consulting firm Volterra. He lives in London.

Paul

Jake Knapp is the inventor of the Design Sprint and a New York Times bestselling author. He’s written two books, Sprint and Make Time, and has coached teams at places like Slack, LEGO, IDEO, and NASA on design strategy and time management.

Jake

George

Naomi Oreskes is an American historian of science. She became Professor of the History of Science and Affiliated Professor of Earth and Planetary Sciences at Harvard University in 2013, after 15 years as Professor of History and Science Studies at the University of California, San Diego.

Naomi

Paul Graham is an English-born American computer scientist, entrepreneur, venture capitalist, author, and essayist. He is best known for his work on Lisp, his former startup Viaweb, co-founding the influential startup accelerator and seed capital firm Y Combinator, his blog, and Hacker News.

<p>Desription of the person in few words</p>


Testable

Gary

Adam M. Grant is an American psychologist and author who is currently a professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania specializing in organizational psychology. He received academic tenure aged 28, making him the youngest tenured professor at the Wharton School.

Adam

Sendhil

Seth Godin is the author of 18 books. He's also the founder of the online workshops altMBA and The Marketing Seminar. Godin has founded several companies, including Yoyodyne and Squidoo. In 2018, he was inducted into the Marketing Hall of Fame.

Seth

Peter Thiel is an American entrepreneur and venture capitalist. He is a co-founder of PayPal, Palantir Technologies and Founders Fund. He was ranked No. 328 on the Forbes 400 in 2018, with a net worth of $2.5 billion.

Peter

Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseball and elections. He is currently the editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight blog and a Special Correspondent for ABC News. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009.In 2007, writing under the pseudonym "Poblano", Silver began to publish analyses and predictions related to the 2008 United States presidential election. At first this work appeared on the political blog Daily Kos, but in March 2008 Silver established his own website, FiveThiNathaniel Read "Nate" Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseball and elections. He is currently the editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight blog and a Special Correspondent for ABC News. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009.In 2007, writing under the pseudonym "Poblano", Silver began to publish analyses and predictions related to the 2008 United States presidential election. At first this work appeared on the political blog Daily Kos, but in March 2008 Silver established his own website, FiveThirtyEight.com. By summer of that year, after he revealed his identity to his readers, he began to appear as an electoral and political analyst in national print, online, and cable news media.The accuracy of his November 2008 presidential election predictions—he correctly predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states—won Silver further attention and commendation. The only state he missed was Indiana, which went for Barack Obama by one percentage point. He correctly predicted the winner of all 35 U.S. Senate races that year.In April 2009, he was named one of The World's 100 Most Influential People by Time.In 2010, Silver's FiveThirtyEight. blog was licensed for publication by The New York Times. The newly renamed blog, FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver's Political Calculus, first appeared in The Times on August 25, 2010. In 2012 and 2013, FiveThirtyEight won Webby Awards as the "Best Political Blog" from the International Academy of Digital Arts and Sciences.Silver's book, 
  The Signal and the Noise
, was published in September 2012. It subsequently reached The New York Times best seller list for nonfiction, and was named by Amazon.com as the #1 best nonfiction book of 2012. The Signal and the Noise won the 2013 Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science. The book has been published in eight languages.In the 2012 United States presidential election between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, he correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states and the District of Columbia. That same year, Silver's predictions of U.S. Senate races were correct in 31 of 33 states; he predicted Republican victory in North Dakota and Montana, where Democrats won.In July 2013, it was revealed that Silver and his FiveThirtyEight blog would depart The New York Times and join ESPN. In his new role at ESPN, Silver would become editor-in-chief of the FiveThirtyEight site. ESPN would own the FiveThirtyEight site and the brand. The ESPN-owned FiveThirtyEight launched on March 17, 2014. Silver's lead article explained that the site would focus on a broad range of subjects under the general rubric of "data journalism".

Nate

Tim Ferriss has been listed as one of Fast Company’s “Most Innovative Business People” and one of Fortune’s “40 under 40.” He is an early-stage technology investor/advisor and the author of five #1 New York Times and Wall Street Journal bestsellers. The Tim Ferriss Show podcast has now exceeded 400 million downloads.

Philip

The 2,100-mile Appalachian Trail traverses scenic, mountainous terrain across fourteen states.  If you are ready for a rugged challenge and want to get away from civilization for a while, this may be the perfect place for you to go hiking.  Author Bill Bryson provides readers with entertaining and informative insights into the history and ecology of the trail in his book, A Walk in the Woods.  He also introduces us to some fellow hikers he met on his journey.  Bryson's book has become a classic read among outdoor enthusiasts as it invokes feelings of excitement about hiking and nature. 

Terrance is the founder of McArthur Capital, a investment management company comprised of securities, real estate, small businesses and venture investments. He runs the site Good Books in his free time. 

Terrance

Jason Zweig first started writing a personal finance column for The Wall Street Journal in 2008. Zweig also edited Benjamin Graham's The Intelligent Investor, which Warren Buffett said "by far the finest book about investing ever published." He's the author of Your Money and Your Brain, one of the first books to look at investing's biology, as well as The Devil's Financial Dictionary, a satirical lexicon of Wall Street jargon.

Jason

Michael Mauboussin is Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global.

Michael

Anthony Pompliano, who is best known as Pomp, is an American entrepreneur, investor, and host of The Pomp Podcast (formerly Off The Chain). He has built and sold numerous companies, ran Product & Growth teams at Facebook, and manages a portfolio valued at more than $500 million in early-stage tech companies.

Anthony

Guy Proops is a UK based Product Manager, currently working on how to help millennials across Europe build wealth at Plum. Prior to Plum, Guy was part of the team at Spaceship where he helped grow the startup to $200+ AUM and 45,000+ customers.

Julia Galef is co-founder of the Center for Applied Rationality. She is a writer and public speaker on the topics of rationality, science, technology, and design.

Julia

Superforecasting

In this book, Philip E.  Tetlock examines the question of what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events.  He first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future.  Tetlock then evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends.  He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. 

Marc Andreessen is an American entrepreneur, investor, and software engineer. He is the co-author of Mosaic, the first widely used web browser; co-founder of Netscape; and co-founder and general partner of Silicon Valley venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz.

Marc

Patrick Collison is an Irish billionaire entrepreneur. He is the co-founder and CEO of Stripe, which he started with his younger brother, John, in 2010. He won the 41st Young Scientist and Technology Exhibition in 2005 at the age of sixteen. Collison lives in San Francisco, California.

Discover the Best Books Written by Philip E. Tetlock

Best author’s book

Superforecasting

Written books

Superforecasting

Expert Political Judgment

Similar authors

Antonio García Martínez

Nir Eyal

Reid Hoffman

Paul Ormerod

Jake Knapp

George C. Halvorson

Naomi Oreskes

Paul Graham

Testable Authorson

Gary P. Pisano

Adam Grant

Sendhil Mullainathan

Seth Godin

Peter Thiel

Nate Silver

Tim Ferriss

Books

Achievers

Topics

Libraries

Blog

About

Contact

Terms